Prelims2
Bantamweight
Rani Yahya vs Luke Sanders
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick
·Pinnacle Bank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Rani Yahya
Luke Sanders
71%
29%
Why
67"
Reach
67"
34
Age
Δ 1y
33
29-12-1
Career record
Δ 5 pp
14-5
W2
Current streak
W1
14
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Yahya: 4 sig / 0 TD ·
Sanders: 2 sig / 0 TD
Rani Yahya
Luke Sanders
29
Sig strikes landed
26
64
Sig strikes attempted
57
54
Total strikes landed
42
2.4
Takedowns landed
0.5
7.3
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
236s
Control time
63s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Rani Yahya
29-12-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
14 fights · 10-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Mor…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lan…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. L…
—
Blue corner
W1
Luke Sanders
"Cool Hand"
14-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ga…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
—
L
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs C…
—