Back to DWCS 2.3
Main Women's Flyweight

Antonina Shevchenko vs Jaimelene Nievera

DWCS 2.3 ·The Ultimate Fighter Gym
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Antonina Shevchenko
Jaimelene Nievera
64% 36%
Why
34
Age
Δ 0y
34

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Shevchenko: 73 sig / 0 TD · Nievera: 14 sig / 1 TD
Antonina Shevchenko
Jaimelene Nievera
37
Sig strikes landed
33
73
Sig strikes attempted
65
69
Total strikes landed
60
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.4
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
165s
Control time
155s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Antonina Shevchenko

"La Pantera"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
Blue corner

Jaimelene Nievera

"Queenie"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34