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Main Welterweight

Dwight Grant vs Tyler Hill

DWCS 2.2 ·The Ultimate Fighter Gym
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Dwight Grant
Tyler Hill
49% 51%
Why
34
Age
Δ 7y
27

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Grant: 38 sig / 0 TD · Hill: 26 sig / 0 TD
Dwight Grant
Tyler Hill
34
Sig strikes landed
36
69
Sig strikes attempted
77
50
Total strikes landed
46
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.3
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
195s
Control time
174s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
30%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Dwight Grant

"The Body Snatcher"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Switch
Age
34
Blue corner

Tyler Hill

0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Stance
Switch
Age
27