Back to UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik
Prelims1 Middleweight

Adam Yandiev vs Jordan Johnson

UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik ·Olympic Stadium
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Adam Yandiev
Jordan Johnson
50% 50%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 5"
79"
30
Age
Δ 0y
30
—
Current streak
W3
0
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Yandiev: 1 sig / 0 TD · Johnson: 35 sig / 3 TD
Adam Yandiev
Jordan Johnson
33
Sig strikes landed
44
72
Sig strikes attempted
94
52
Total strikes landed
87
1.1
Takedowns landed
2.6
1.6
Takedowns attempted
4.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
137s
Control time
266s
Method
Decision
68%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Adam Yandiev

"Boroda"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
Blue corner
W3

Jordan Johnson

11-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
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