Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Alonzo Menifield
Dashawn Boatwright
78%
22%
Why
31
Age
Δ 0y
30
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Menifield: 7 sig / 0 TD ·
Boatwright: 0 sig / 0 TD
Alonzo Menifield
Dashawn Boatwright
29
Sig strikes landed
16
71
Sig strikes attempted
38
36
Total strikes landed
19
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.1
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.60
Knockdowns
0.40
103s
Control time
66s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
24%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Alonzo Menifield
"Atomic"
19-6-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
DWCS 1.3
—
Blue corner
Dashawn Boatwright
"Buck, the 400-pound Silverback"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30