Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Vitor Miranda
Abu Azaitar
40%
60%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 1"
76"
39
Age
Δ 7y
32
L2
Current streak
—
6
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Miranda: 19 sig / 3 TD ·
Azaitar: 48 sig / 1 TD
Vitor Miranda
Abu Azaitar
37
Sig strikes landed
35
76
Sig strikes attempted
72
52
Total strikes landed
55
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.5
2.6
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
109s
Control time
148s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Vitor Miranda
"Lex Luthor"
12-6
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Gar…
—
W
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—
W
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dol…
—
Blue corner
Abu Azaitar
"Captain Morocco"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32