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Main Heavyweight

Junior Dos Santos vs Blagoy Ivanov

UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov ·CenturyLink Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Junior Dos Santos
Blagoy Ivanov
53% 47%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 4"
73"
34
Age
Δ 3y
32
L1
Current streak
—
13
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Dos Santos: 110 sig / 0 TD · Ivanov: 51 sig / 0 TD
Junior Dos Santos
Blagoy Ivanov
64
Sig strikes landed
43
128
Sig strikes attempted
91
76
Total strikes landed
59
0.1
Takedowns landed
1.1
0.3
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
21s
Control time
117s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
51%
Submission
6%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Junior Dos Santos

"Cigano"
21-10
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 13 fights · 9-4
Last 5
L UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
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W UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Do…
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L UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowbo…
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W UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic
—
L UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santo…
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Blue corner

Blagoy Ivanov

"Baga"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32