Prelims2
Middleweight
Gerald Meerschaert vs Oskar Piechota
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale
·Pearl Concert Theater
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Gerald Meerschaert
Oskar Piechota
69%
31%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
30
Age
Δ 2y
28
38-22
Career record
Δ 12 pp
12-3-1
W1
Current streak
W2
4
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Meerschaert: 51 sig / 3 TD ·
Piechota: 23 sig / 1 TD
Gerald Meerschaert
Oskar Piechota
24
Sig strikes landed
23
57
Sig strikes attempted
45
40
Total strikes landed
30
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
93s
Control time
102s
Method
Decision
24%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
32%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Gerald Meerschaert
"GM3"
38-22
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
78"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
The Ultimate Fighter: A New Wor…
—
L
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Brow…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdu…
—
Blue corner
W2
Oskar Piechota
"Imadlo"
12-3-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Me…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Ti…
—