Back to UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards
Prelims1 Welterweight

Song Kenan vs Hector Aldana

UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards ·Singapore Indoor Stadium
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Song Kenan
Hector Aldana
82% 18%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
28
Age
Δ 2y
30
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Kenan: 32 sig / 0 TD · Aldana: 39 sig / 2 TD
Song Kenan
Hector Aldana
35
Sig strikes landed
15
65
Sig strikes attempted
31
39
Total strikes landed
18
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.4
1.3
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.60
Knockdowns
0.10
278s
Control time
32s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
53%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Song Kenan

"The Assassin"
23-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Ga…
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Blue corner

Hector Aldana

0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30