Prelims1
Welterweight
Shinsho Anzai vs Jake Matthews
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards
·Singapore Indoor Stadium
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Shinsho Anzai
Jake Matthews
23%
77%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
33
Age
Δ 9y
24
11-3
Career record
Δ 4 pp
24-8
W2
Current streak
W2
3
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Anzai: 1 sig / 0 TD ·
Matthews: 12 sig / 1 TD
Shinsho Anzai
Jake Matthews
26
Sig strikes landed
35
48
Sig strikes attempted
63
47
Total strikes landed
59
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.7
4.0
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
167s
Control time
228s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
30%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Shinsho Anzai
"Animal"
11-3
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nel…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le
—
Blue corner
W2
Jake Matthews
"The Celtic Kid"
24-8
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
9 fights · 6-3
Last 5
W
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tyb…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joan…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir
—