Prelims1
Flyweight
Matt Schnell vs Naoki Inoue
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards
·Singapore Indoor Stadium
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Matt Schnell
Naoki Inoue
25%
75%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
71"
28
Age
Δ 7y
21
18-10
Career record
Δ 28 pp
12-1
W1
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Schnell: 71 sig / 0 TD ·
Inoue: 48 sig / 0 TD
Matt Schnell
Naoki Inoue
36
Sig strikes landed
53
81
Sig strikes attempted
99
56
Total strikes landed
76
0.5
Takedowns landed
2.1
1.7
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
103s
Control time
222s
Method
Decision
82%
KO/TKO
7%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Matt Schnell
"Danger"
18-10
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lo…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournamen…
—
Blue corner
W1
Naoki Inoue
12-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
21
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Corre…
—