Back to UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards
Prelims1 Flyweight

Jenel Lausa vs Yuta Sasaki

UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards ·Singapore Indoor Stadium
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Jenel Lausa
Yuta Sasaki
23% 77%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
30
Age
Δ 1y
29
7-6
Career record
Δ 16 pp
21-7-2
L2
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
7

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Lausa: 7 sig / 0 TD · Sasaki: 25 sig / 5 TD
Jenel Lausa
Yuta Sasaki
17
Sig strikes landed
29
40
Sig strikes attempted
66
27
Total strikes landed
47
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.7
0.7
Takedowns attempted
3.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
20s
Control time
175s
Method
Decision
28%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
47%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Jenel Lausa

7-6
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tyb…
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L UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
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W UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
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Blue corner
L1

Yuta Sasaki

"Ulka"
21-7-2
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database 7 fights · 3-4
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs…
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W UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Corre…
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L UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
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W UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arl…
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L UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs…
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