Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Claudio Silva
Nordine Taleb
65%
35%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
74"
36
Age
Δ 1y
37
15-4
Career record
Δ 9 pp
16-7
W2
Current streak
W2
2
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Silva: 18 sig / 1 TD ·
Taleb: 6 sig / 1 TD
Claudio Silva
Nordine Taleb
30
Sig strikes landed
32
64
Sig strikes attempted
66
54
Total strikes landed
48
2.2
Takedowns landed
1.0
6.7
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
213s
Control time
147s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Claudio Silva
"Hannibal"
15-4
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs S…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs …
—
Blue corner
W2
Nordine Taleb
16-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Brow…
—
W
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—
L
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
—