Back to UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes
Prelims2 Bantamweight

Johnny Eduardo vs Nathaniel Wood

UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes ·Adirondack Bank Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Johnny Eduardo
Nathaniel Wood
29% 71%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
40
Age
Δ 15y
25
L1
Current streak
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6
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Eduardo: 37 sig / 0 TD · Wood: 33 sig / 0 TD
Johnny Eduardo
Nathaniel Wood
35
Sig strikes landed
34
81
Sig strikes attempted
57
45
Total strikes landed
34
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.1
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.70
56s
Control time
90s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
26%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Johnny Eduardo

28-14
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
40
In our database 6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway
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W UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogu…
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L UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
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W UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
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W UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie v…
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Blue corner

Nathaniel Wood

"The Last Kingsman"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25