Main
Bantamweight
Jimmie Rivera vs Marlon Moraes
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes
·Adirondack Bank Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jimmie Rivera
Marlon Moraes
73%
27%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
67"
29
Age
Δ 1y
30
24-5
Career record
Δ 14 pp
24-10-1
W5
Current streak
W2
5
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Rivera: 0 sig / 0 TD ·
Moraes: 7 sig / 0 TD
Jimmie Rivera
Marlon Moraes
48
Sig strikes landed
35
123
Sig strikes attempted
117
61
Total strikes landed
42
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.4
2.9
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
61s
Control time
35s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W5
Jimmie Rivera
"El Terror"
24-5
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 5-0
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Lei…
—
Blue corner
W2
Marlon Moraes
"Magic"
24-10-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pe…
—
L
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway
—