🏆 Title fight
Main
Women's Bantamweight
Amanda Nunes vs Raquel Pennington
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
·Farmasi Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Amanda Nunes
Raquel Pennington
84%
16%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
30
Age
Δ 0y
30
24-5
Career record
Δ 20 pp
17-10
W6
Current streak
W4
9
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 5
Nunes: 124 sig / 3 TD ·
Pennington: 64 sig / 1 TD
Amanda Nunes
Raquel Pennington
55
Sig strikes landed
41
102
Sig strikes attempted
90
87
Total strikes landed
53
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.7
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
155s
Control time
121s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W6
Amanda Nunes
"The Lioness"
24-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
9 fights · 8-1
Last 5
W
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
W
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
—
W
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
—
W
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Sa…
—
Blue corner
W4
Raquel Pennington
"Rocky"
17-10
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor
—
W
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
—
W
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
—
W
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
—
L
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano
—