Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Robert Whittaker
Yoel Romero
89%
11%
Why
74"
Reach
74"
28
Age
Δ 14y
41
28-9
Career record
Δ 2 pp
14-5
W8
Current streak
W1
12
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 5
Whittaker: 128 sig / 0 TD ·
Romero: 111 sig / 3 TD
Robert Whittaker
Yoel Romero
74
Sig strikes landed
52
181
Sig strikes attempted
120
81
Total strikes landed
63
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.1
Takedowns attempted
5.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
28s
Control time
76s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
52%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W8
Robert Whittaker
"The Reaper"
28-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
12 fights · 10-2
Last 5
W
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
W
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
—
W
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
—
Blue corner
W1
Yoel Romero
"Soldier of God"
14-5
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
41
In our database
10 fights · 9-1
Last 5
W
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold
—
L
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
—
W
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor
—
W
UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Rom…
—