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Prelims1 Bantamweight

Merab Dvalishvili vs Ricky Simon

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee ·Boardwalk Hall
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Merab Dvalishvili
Ricky Simon
56% 44%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 1"
69"
27
Age
Δ 2y
26
L1
Current streak
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1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Dvalishvili: 61 sig / 6 TD · Simon: 34 sig / 2 TD
Merab Dvalishvili
Ricky Simon
45
Sig strikes landed
41
152
Sig strikes attempted
96
81
Total strikes landed
69
4.2
Takedowns landed
1.9
6.9
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
290s
Control time
68s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
25%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Merab Dvalishvili

"The Machine"
21-6
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
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Blue corner

Ricky Simon

0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26