Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jim Miller
Dan Hooker
70%
30%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
75"
35
Age
Δ 6y
28
39-20
Career record
Δ 2 pp
25-14
L3
Current streak
W2
23
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Miller: 10 sig / 1 TD ·
Hooker: 24 sig / 0 TD
Jim Miller
Dan Hooker
34
Sig strikes landed
45
61
Sig strikes attempted
93
42
Total strikes landed
59
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.5
3.2
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
113s
Control time
73s
Method
Decision
28%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
36%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L3
Jim Miller
"A-10"
39-20
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
23 fights · 13-9
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ma…
—
L
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
—
L
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
—
W
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor
—
W
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit
—
Blue corner
W2
Dan Hooker
"The Hangman"
25-14
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Switch
Age
28
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
W
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir
—
L
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
—