Prelims2
Women's Strawweight
Jamie Moyle vs Emily Whitmire
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Jamie Moyle
Emily Whitmire
64%
36%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 2"
64"
29
Age
Δ 2y
27
4-4
Career record
Δ 10 pp
4-6
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Moyle: 50 sig / 0 TD ·
Whitmire: 53 sig / 1 TD
Jamie Moyle
Emily Whitmire
36
Sig strikes landed
42
77
Sig strikes attempted
97
54
Total strikes landed
54
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
152s
Control time
126s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jamie Moyle
4-4
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournamen…
—
Blue corner
L1
Emily Whitmire
"Spitfire"
4-6
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
The Ultimate Fighter: A New Wor…
—