Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
Devin Clark vs Mike Rodriguez
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta
·Barclays Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Devin Clark
Mike Rodriguez
58%
42%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 8"
82"
28
Age
Δ 1y
29
L1
Current streak
—
4
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Clark: 50 sig / 7 TD ·
Rodriguez: 40 sig / 0 TD
Devin Clark
Mike Rodriguez
33
Sig strikes landed
34
53
Sig strikes attempted
70
57
Total strikes landed
51
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.6
4.6
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
250s
Control time
98s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Devin Clark
"Brown Bear"
14-10
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Ti…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournamen…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. L…
—
Blue corner
Mike Rodriguez
"Slo Mike"
0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
83"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29