Back to UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov
Prelims1 Heavyweight

Mark Godbeer vs Dmitry Sosnovskiy

UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov ·The O2 Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Mark Godbeer
Dmitry Sosnovskiy
43% 57%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 0"
77"
34
Age
Δ 6y
29
W2
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Godbeer: 24 sig / 0 TD · Sosnovskiy: 28 sig / 2 TD
Mark Godbeer
Dmitry Sosnovskiy
31
Sig strikes landed
34
55
Sig strikes attempted
57
48
Total strikes landed
70
0.4
Takedowns landed
2.1
1.1
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
77s
Control time
160s
Method
Decision
24%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
31%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Mark Godbeer

"The Hand Of"
14-4
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
—
W UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
—
L UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Ha…
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Blue corner

Dmitry Sosnovskiy

"Wicked Machine"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29