Back to UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens
Prelims2 Bantamweight

Albert Morales vs Manny Bermudez

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens ·Amway Center
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Albert Morales
Manny Bermudez
30% 70%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 0"
72"
27
Age
Δ 3y
24
L2
Current streak
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5
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Morales: 19 sig / 1 TD · Bermudez: 12 sig / 1 TD
Albert Morales
Manny Bermudez
36
Sig strikes landed
48
94
Sig strikes attempted
98
45
Total strikes landed
68
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.8
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
105s
Control time
172s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Albert Morales

"The Warrior"
7-5-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 5 fights · 1-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
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L UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Pon…
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W UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
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L UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogu…
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D UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Jo…
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Blue corner

Manny Bermudez

"The Bermudez Triangle"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24