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Main Featherweight

Steven Peterson vs Brandon Davis

UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros ·Frank Erwin Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Steven Peterson
Brandon Davis
66% 34%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
28
Age
Δ 0y
28
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Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Peterson: 73 sig / 1 TD · Davis: 114 sig / 0 TD
Steven Peterson
Brandon Davis
44
Sig strikes landed
36
96
Sig strikes attempted
95
59
Total strikes landed
49
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.5
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
118s
Control time
78s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Steven Peterson

"Ocho"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner
L1

Brandon Davis

"Killer B"
14-11
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
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