Back to UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya
🏆 Title fight Main Women's Featherweight

Cristiane Justino vs Yana Santos

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Cristiane Justino
Yana Santos
76% 24%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 0"
68"
33
Age
Δ 4y
28
W4
Current streak
4
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Justino: 33 sig / 1 TD · Santos: 5 sig / 1 TD
Cristiane Justino
Yana Santos
70
Sig strikes landed
42
122
Sig strikes attempted
111
104
Total strikes landed
65
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
132s
Control time
114s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W4

Cristiane Justino

"Cyborg"
22-2 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
W UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
W UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lan…
W UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic
Blue corner

Yana Santos

0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28