Prelims2
Light Heavyweight
Jordan Johnson vs Adam Milstead
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jordan Johnson
Adam Milstead
72%
28%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 3"
76"
29
Age
Δ 1y
31
11-0
Career record
Δ 33 pp
8-4
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Johnson: 59 sig / 2 TD ·
Milstead: 58 sig / 0 TD
Jordan Johnson
Adam Milstead
50
Sig strikes landed
41
107
Sig strikes attempted
89
104
Total strikes landed
50
3.2
Takedowns landed
0.3
6.4
Takedowns attempted
0.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
308s
Control time
15s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Jordan Johnson
11-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemptio…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena
—
Blue corner
W1
Adam Milstead
"The Prototype"
8-4
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
2 fights · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Gar…
—