Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Teruto Ishihara
Jose Quinonez
57%
43%
Why
69"
Reach
69"
27
Age
Δ 1y
28
11-7-2
Career record
Δ 12 pp
10-5
W1
Current streak
W3
6
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ishihara: 33 sig / 1 TD ·
Quinonez: 49 sig / 2 TD
Teruto Ishihara
Jose Quinonez
33
Sig strikes landed
37
76
Sig strikes attempted
82
41
Total strikes landed
51
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.5
2.1
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
83s
Control time
166s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Teruto Ishihara
"Yashabo"
11-7-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
6 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemptio…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Ha…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—
Blue corner
W3
Jose Quinonez
"Teco"
10-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Mor…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Jo…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Hen…
—
L
UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt
—