Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Yoel Romero
Luke Rockhold
46%
54%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
77"
41
Age
Δ 8y
33
13-6
Career record
Δ 5 pp
17-6
L1
Current streak
W1
9
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Romero: 45 sig / 0 TD ·
Rockhold: 45 sig / 0 TD
Yoel Romero
Luke Rockhold
34
Sig strikes landed
36
62
Sig strikes attempted
77
45
Total strikes landed
46
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.0
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
124s
Control time
78s
Method
Decision
24%
KO/TKO
58%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Yoel Romero
"Soldier of God"
13-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
41
In our database
9 fights · 8-1
Last 5
L
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
—
W
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor
—
W
UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Rom…
—
W
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
—
Blue corner
W1
Luke Rockhold
17-6
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. B…
—
L
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
—
W
UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
—
W
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bi…
—