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Prelims2 Flyweight

Deiveson Figueiredo vs Joseph Morales

UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders ·Arena Guilherme Paraense (Mangueirinho)
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Deiveson Figueiredo
Joseph Morales
53% 47%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 1"
69"
30
Age
Δ 7y
24
26-7-1
Career record
Δ 12 pp
16-2
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Figueiredo: 31 sig / 2 TD · Morales: 9 sig / 0 TD
Deiveson Figueiredo
Joseph Morales
17
Sig strikes landed
18
37
Sig strikes attempted
43
27
Total strikes landed
28
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.8
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
156s
Control time
103s
Method
Decision
20%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
33%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Deiveson Figueiredo

"Deus da Guerra"
26-7-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ma…
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W UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway
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Blue corner
W1

Joseph Morales

"Bopo"
16-2
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Switch
Age
24
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Mor…
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