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Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Randa Markos vs Juliana Lima

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Randa Markos
Juliana Lima
45% 55%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
32
Age
Δ 3y
36
11-13-1
Career record
Δ 16 pp
9-6
L1
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
6

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Markos: 46 sig / 2 TD · Lima: 18 sig / 1 TD
Randa Markos
Juliana Lima
39
Sig strikes landed
39
91
Sig strikes attempted
91
73
Total strikes landed
75
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.9
2.7
Takedowns attempted
5.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
226s
Control time
250s
Method
Decision
78%
KO/TKO
10%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Randa Markos

"Quiet Storm"
11-13-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 7 fights · 3-4
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Mor…
W UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Brow…
L UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
W UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs T…
L UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowbo…
Blue corner
L1

Juliana Lima

"Ju Thai"
9-6
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database 6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L The Ultimate Fighter: Redemptio…
W UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdu…
L UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
W UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
W UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs S…