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Prelims1 Bantamweight

Kyung Ho Kang vs Guido Cannetti

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Kyung Ho Kang
Guido Cannetti
85% 15%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 5"
68"
30
Age
Δ 8y
38
20-11
Career record
Δ 7 pp
11-8
W2
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Kang: 3 sig / 1 TD · Cannetti: 19 sig / 1 TD
Kyung Ho Kang
Guido Cannetti
35
Sig strikes landed
22
78
Sig strikes attempted
48
68
Total strikes landed
38
2.2
Takedowns landed
0.6
4.7
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
250s
Control time
102s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
43%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Kyung Ho Kang

"Mr. Perfect"
20-11 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 4 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
W UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs …
L UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2
Blue corner
W1

Guido Cannetti

"Ninja"
11-8
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
38
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
L UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt