Back to UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi
Prelims2 Women's Strawweight

Danielle Taylor vs JJ Aldrich

UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi ·Enterprise Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Danielle Taylor
JJ Aldrich
38% 62%
Why
60"
Reach
Δ 8"
68"
28
Age
Δ 3y
25
10-4
Career record
Δ 2 pp
16-7
W2
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Taylor: 38 sig / 0 TD · Aldrich: 54 sig / 1 TD
Danielle Taylor
JJ Aldrich
56
Sig strikes landed
59
130
Sig strikes attempted
159
72
Total strikes landed
80
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.7
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
71s
Control time
104s
Method
Decision
86%
KO/TKO
9%
Submission
6%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Danielle Taylor

"Dynamite"
10-4
Career record
Height
60"
Reach
60"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lo…
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W UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
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L UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
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Blue corner
W1

JJ Aldrich

16-7
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt
—
L UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdu…
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