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Main Bantamweight

Albert Morales vs Benito Lopez

UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega ·Save Mart Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Albert Morales
Benito Lopez
40% 60%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 1"
73"
26
Age
Δ 3y
24
L1
Current streak
—
4
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Morales: 78 sig / 0 TD · Lopez: 78 sig / 0 TD
Albert Morales
Benito Lopez
34
Sig strikes landed
47
84
Sig strikes attempted
89
49
Total strikes landed
67
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.0
3.0
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
148s
Control time
169s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Albert Morales

"The Warrior"
7-5-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 4 fights · 1-2
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Pon…
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W UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
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L UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogu…
—
D UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Jo…
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Blue corner

Benito Lopez

"Golden Boy"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Switch
Age
24