Back to UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Luke Sanders vs Andre Soukhamthath

UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega ·Save Mart Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Luke Sanders
Andre Soukhamthath
60% 40%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 3"
70"
32
Age
Δ 3y
29
13-6
Career record
Δ 9 pp
13-9
L1
Current streak
L2
2
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Sanders: 23 sig / 0 TD · Soukhamthath: 20 sig / 0 TD
Luke Sanders
Andre Soukhamthath
53
Sig strikes landed
46
98
Sig strikes attempted
110
68
Total strikes landed
54
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.6
3.6
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
125s
Control time
84s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Luke Sanders

"Cool Hand"
13-6
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
—
W UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs C…
—
Blue corner
L2

Andre Soukhamthath

"The Asian Sensation"
13-9
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Mor…
—
L UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
—