🏆 Title fight
Main
Women's Featherweight
Cristiane Justino vs Holly Holm
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Cristiane Justino
Holly Holm
88%
12%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 1"
69"
32
Age
Δ 4y
36
22-2
Career record
Δ 22 pp
16-7
W3
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Justino: 118 sig / 0 TD ·
Holm: 44 sig / 0 TD
Cristiane Justino
Holly Holm
80
Sig strikes landed
39
149
Sig strikes attempted
120
115
Total strikes landed
57
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.60
Knockdowns
0.00
121s
Control time
109s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Cristiane Justino
"Cyborg"
22-2
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lan…
—
W
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic
—
Blue corner
W1
Holly Holm
"The Preacher's Daughter"
16-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Corre…
—
L
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
—
L
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
—
L
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—
W
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
—