Prelims2
Women's Flyweight
Gillian Robertson vs Emily Whitmire
The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale
·Park Theatre
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Gillian Robertson
Emily Whitmire
80%
20%
Why
63"
Reach
Δ 0"
64"
22
Age
Δ 4y
26
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Robertson: 2 sig / 1 TD ·
Whitmire: 9 sig / 0 TD
Gillian Robertson
Emily Whitmire
39
Sig strikes landed
33
86
Sig strikes attempted
77
73
Total strikes landed
51
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.4
1.7
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
189s
Control time
104s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Gillian Robertson
"The Savage"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
Blue corner
Emily Whitmire
"Spitfire"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27