Main
Bantamweight
Sean O'Malley vs Terrion Ware
The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale
·Park Theatre
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Sean O'Malley
Terrion Ware
83%
17%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 1"
71"
23
Age
Δ 9y
32
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
O'Malley: 141 sig / 3 TD ·
Ware: 88 sig / 0 TD
Sean O'Malley
Terrion Ware
55
Sig strikes landed
43
122
Sig strikes attempted
109
71
Total strikes landed
61
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
111s
Control time
91s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Sean O'Malley
"Suga"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
23
Blue corner
L1
Terrion Ware
"Flash"
17-10
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
—