Back to UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida
Prelims2 Heavyweight

Marcelo Golm vs Christian Colombo

UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida ·Ginasio do Ibirapuera
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Marcelo Golm
Christian Colombo
69% 31%
Why
25
Age
Δ 12y
37
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Golm: 35 sig / 1 TD · Colombo: 2 sig / 0 TD
Marcelo Golm
Christian Colombo
39
Sig strikes landed
26
78
Sig strikes attempted
67
49
Total strikes landed
44
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.4
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.50
Knockdowns
0.40
144s
Control time
92s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
53%
Submission
7%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Marcelo Golm

0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
Blue corner
L1

Christian Colombo

8-4-1
Career record
Height
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database 2 fights · 0-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogu…
—
D UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. B…
—