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Prelims2 Flyweight

Deiveson Figueiredo vs Jarred Brooks

UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida ·Ginasio do Ibirapuera
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Deiveson Figueiredo
Jarred Brooks
70% 30%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 6"
62"
30
Age
Δ 5y
24
26-7-1
Career record
Δ 11 pp
14-2
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Figueiredo: 19 sig / 1 TD · Brooks: 30 sig / 7 TD
Deiveson Figueiredo
Jarred Brooks
29
Sig strikes landed
15
62
Sig strikes attempted
41
36
Total strikes landed
34
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.0
4.5
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
162s
Control time
132s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Deiveson Figueiredo

"Deus da Guerra"
26-7-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway
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Blue corner
W1

Jarred Brooks

"The Monkey God"
14-2
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
62"
Stance
Switch
Age
25
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
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