Main
Lightweight
Francisco Trinaldo vs Jim Miller
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida
·Ginasio do Ibirapuera
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Francisco Trinaldo
Jim Miller
54%
46%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
71"
39
Age
Δ 5y
34
28-10
Career record
Δ 8 pp
39-20
L1
Current streak
L2
15
UFC fights in our DB
22
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Trinaldo: 63 sig / 1 TD ·
Miller: 34 sig / 1 TD
Francisco Trinaldo
Jim Miller
43
Sig strikes landed
36
81
Sig strikes attempted
82
57
Total strikes landed
44
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
129s
Control time
77s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Francisco Trinaldo
"Massaranduba"
28-10
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
39
In our database
15 fights · 11-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lan…
—
W
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs C…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Ol…
—
Blue corner
L2
Jim Miller
"A-10"
39-20
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
22 fights · 13-8
Last 5
L
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
—
L
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
—
W
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor
—
W
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit
—
W
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
—