Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Anton Berzin
Kennedy Nzechukwu
44%
56%
Why
28
Age
Δ 3y
25
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Berzin: 66 sig / 2 TD ·
Nzechukwu: 102 sig / 0 TD
Anton Berzin
Kennedy Nzechukwu
30
Sig strikes landed
36
59
Sig strikes attempted
74
40
Total strikes landed
55
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.2
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
122s
Control time
129s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
54%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Anton Berzin
"The Body Snatcher"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner
Kennedy Nzechukwu
"Chosen"
0-0
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
83"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25