Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Charles Byrd
Randall Wallace
35%
65%
Why
73"
Reach
73"
34
Age
Δ 5y
28
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Byrd: 29 sig / 2 TD ·
Wallace: 8 sig / 1 TD
Charles Byrd
Randall Wallace
26
Sig strikes landed
23
50
Sig strikes attempted
54
28
Total strikes landed
40
1.5
Takedowns landed
2.2
3.5
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
98s
Control time
134s
Method
Decision
27%
KO/TKO
50%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Charles Byrd
"Kid Dynamite"
11-7
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
DWCS 1.1
—
Blue corner
Randall Wallace
"Braveheart"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29