Prelims1
Heavyweight
Anthony Hamilton vs Daniel Spitz
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch
·PPG Paints Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Anthony Hamilton
Daniel Spitz
46%
54%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 6"
82"
37
Age
Δ 10y
27
15-10
Career record
Δ 0 pp
6-4
L2
Current streak
L1
8
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Hamilton: 0 sig / 0 TD ·
Spitz: 5 sig / 1 TD
Anthony Hamilton
Daniel Spitz
36
Sig strikes landed
36
68
Sig strikes attempted
98
53
Total strikes landed
48
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
171s
Control time
87s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
54%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Anthony Hamilton
"Freight Train"
15-10
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
8 fights · 3-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. T…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdu…
—
W
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowb…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro…
—
Blue corner
L1
Daniel Spitz
6-4
Career record
Height
79"
Reach
82"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
—