Back to UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura
Prelims1 Heavyweight

Rashad Coulter vs Tai Tuivasa

UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura ·Qudos Bank Arena
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Rashad Coulter
Tai Tuivasa
41% 59%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 1"
75"
36
Age
Δ 11y
25
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Coulter: 10 sig / 0 TD · Tuivasa: 22 sig / 0 TD
Rashad Coulter
Tai Tuivasa
31
Sig strikes landed
42
60
Sig strikes attempted
89
42
Total strikes landed
63
0.3
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.6
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
68s
Control time
153s
Method
Decision
23%
KO/TKO
70%
Submission
8%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Rashad Coulter

"Daywalker"
9-5
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
—
Blue corner

Tai Tuivasa

"Bam Bam"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25