Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Dan Ige
Luis Gomez
66%
34%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 3"
68"
26
Age
Δ 4y
22
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Ige: 54 sig / 4 TD ·
Gomez: 21 sig / 4 TD
Dan Ige
Luis Gomez
38
Sig strikes landed
30
80
Sig strikes attempted
70
52
Total strikes landed
44
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.2
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
124s
Control time
135s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Dan Ige
"100K"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
Blue corner
Luis Gomez
"Tiger Junior"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23