Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Mitch Clarke
Alex White
50%
50%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
32
Age
Δ 3y
29
11-6
Career record
Δ 0 pp
13-7
L2
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Clarke: 28 sig / 0 TD ·
White: 57 sig / 0 TD
Mitch Clarke
Alex White
34
Sig strikes landed
39
88
Sig strikes attempted
89
47
Total strikes landed
54
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.6
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.70
144s
Control time
97s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Mitch Clarke
"Danger Zone"
11-6
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
6 fights · 2-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
—
W
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
—
W
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson
—
L
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao
—
Blue corner
L1
Alex White
"The Spartan"
13-7
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs T…
—
L
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Mill…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne
—