🏆 Title fight
Main
Women's Bantamweight
Amanda Nunes vs Valentina Shevchenko
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
·Rogers Place
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Amanda Nunes
Valentina Shevchenko
53%
47%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
29
Age
Δ 0y
30
24-5
Career record
Δ 2 pp
27-4-1
W5
Current streak
W2
8
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 5
Nunes: 86 sig / 2 TD ·
Shevchenko: 72 sig / 0 TD
Amanda Nunes
Valentina Shevchenko
40
Sig strikes landed
39
82
Sig strikes attempted
72
68
Total strikes landed
71
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.9
2.1
Takedowns attempted
4.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
122s
Control time
199s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
29%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W5
Amanda Nunes
"The Lioness"
24-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
8 fights · 7-1
Last 5
W
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
—
W
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
—
W
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Sa…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
—
Blue corner
W2
Valentina Shevchenko
"Bullet"
27-4-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena
—
W
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko
—
L
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—
W
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowbo…
—