Back to UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve
Main Women's Bantamweight

Marion Reneau vs Talita Bernardo

UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve ·Ahoy Rotterdam
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Marion Reneau
Talita Bernardo
40% 60%
Why
68"
Reach
68"
40
Age
Δ 10y
30
D1
Current streak
—
6
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Reneau: 57 sig / 0 TD · Bernardo: 22 sig / 3 TD
Marion Reneau
Talita Bernardo
41
Sig strikes landed
42
101
Sig strikes attempted
95
69
Total strikes landed
58
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.0
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
153s
Control time
131s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
D1

Marion Reneau

"The Belizean Bruiser"
9-8-2
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
40
In our database 6 fights · 3-2
Last 5
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Blue corner

Talita Bernardo

0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31