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Prelims1 Light Heavyweight

Francimar Barroso vs Aleksandar Rakic

UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve ·Ahoy Rotterdam
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Francimar Barroso
Aleksandar Rakic
47% 53%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 3"
78"
38
Age
Δ 12y
26
W1
Current streak
—
7
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Barroso: 24 sig / 2 TD · Rakic: 46 sig / 0 TD
Francimar Barroso
Aleksandar Rakic
32
Sig strikes landed
33
58
Sig strikes attempted
75
53
Total strikes landed
51
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.6
4.6
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
205s
Control time
102s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Francimar Barroso

"Bodao"
20-7 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
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Blue corner

Aleksandar Rakic

"Rocket"
0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26