Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Chad Laprise
Brian Camozzi
69%
31%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 7"
78"
31
Age
Δ 5y
26
14-4
Career record
Δ 24 pp
7-6
W1
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Laprise: 76 sig / 1 TD ·
Camozzi: 47 sig / 0 TD
Chad Laprise
Brian Camozzi
46
Sig strikes landed
33
103
Sig strikes attempted
95
64
Total strikes landed
43
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.5
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
142s
Control time
86s
Method
Decision
61%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Chad Laprise
"The Disciple"
14-4
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Ol…
—
W
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
—
W
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs S…
—
Blue corner
L1
Brian Camozzi
"Mantis"
7-6
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdu…
—